2019 : A Personalized Infectious Disease Risk Prediction System

Retno Aulia Vinarti S.Kom., M.Kom., Ph.D


This article presents a system for predicting a human's risk of contracting infectious diseases based on their personal attributes and environments (region, specific location features and climate contexts). This system is also intended to help human experts in the domain (i.e. epidemiologists) to represent their knowledge and ease their jobs related to personalized infectious disease risk prediction. The system consists of a knowledge representation to encode epidemiological knowledge about infectious disease risk, and an algorithm that auto-converts the encoded knowledge into a model that predicts the risk as a probability. The knowledge representation, Infectious Disease Risk (IDR), consists of an ontology and rules to represent the knowledge structure and its quantification in a way that allows auto-generation to a prediction model, Bayesian Network (BN). The algorithm, BN-Builder, converts the IDR knowledge …